{"id":4566,"date":"2025-06-09T14:52:31","date_gmt":"2025-06-09T12:52:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/?p=4566"},"modified":"2025-06-09T14:52:33","modified_gmt":"2025-06-09T12:52:33","slug":"comparison-of-ensemble-nlearning-and-neural-network-models-for-default-risk-analysis-a-reproduction-study","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/index.php\/2025\/06\/09\/comparison-of-ensemble-nlearning-and-neural-network-models-for-default-risk-analysis-a-reproduction-study\/","title":{"rendered":"Comparison of ensemble nlearning and neural network models for default risk analysis: a reproduction study"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Researcher<\/strong>: Tebogo Malatsi, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg<br><strong>Supervisor<\/strong>: Assoc. Prof. YudhvirSeetharam, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg<\/p><p>This study replicates prior research on default risk assessment using ensemble and deep learning techniques, leveraging payment data from the UCI Machine Learning Repository for Taiwan. It specifically compares boosting, random forest, and neural network models with Tanh and ReLUactivations, evaluating their predictive accuracy and classification capabilities through metrics like accuracy, AUC, ROC curve, and F-Score.<br>The study reveals trade-offs in model performance metrics, with heightened accuracy but nuanced reductions in AUC\/F-Score. Random Forests demonstrate superior learning and generalization, while neural network models emphasize the challenge of balancing sensitivity, specificity, precision, and recall.<\/p><div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"724\" src=\"https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2234145765-Tebogo-Malatsi-41222_Tebogo_Malatsi_ve1911_18079_521482454-1024x724.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4567\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2234145765-Tebogo-Malatsi-41222_Tebogo_Malatsi_ve1911_18079_521482454-1024x724.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2234145765-Tebogo-Malatsi-41222_Tebogo_Malatsi_ve1911_18079_521482454-300x212.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2234145765-Tebogo-Malatsi-41222_Tebogo_Malatsi_ve1911_18079_521482454-768x543.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2234145765-Tebogo-Malatsi-41222_Tebogo_Malatsi_ve1911_18079_521482454-1536x1086.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2234145765-Tebogo-Malatsi-41222_Tebogo_Malatsi_ve1911_18079_521482454-2048x1449.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/2234145765-Tebogo-Malatsi-41222_Tebogo_Malatsi_ve1911_18079_521482454-600x424.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure><\/div><p>&nbsp;<\/p><p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Researcher: Tebogo Malatsi, University of the Witwatersrand, JohannesburgSupervisor: Assoc. Prof. YudhvirSeetharam, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg This study replicates prior research on default risk assessment using ensemble and deep learning techniques, leveraging payment data from the UCI Machine Learning Repository for Taiwan. It specifically compares boosting, random<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":4493,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4566","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-capstone-projects"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4566","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4566"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4566\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4568,"href":"https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4566\/revisions\/4568"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4493"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4566"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4566"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.escience.ac.za\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4566"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}