Strange bedfellows: ANC-DA Parliamentary discourse in the GNU – A Corpus-Assisted Discourse Analysis

Researcher: Maxwell Milella, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
Supervisor: Dr Rod Alence and Dr Retha Langa, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg

young democracy. After 30 years of unchallenged political dominance, the African National Congress (ANC) lost the parliamentary majority that it had held since South Africa’s first truly free and democratic election in 1994. In response to this, the ANC and 9 other parties from across South Africa’s political landscape came together to form a grand coalition government, a Government of National Unity (GNU).

The GNU is (at time of writing) dominated by two parties: the ANC and the Democratic Alliance (DA), historically the governing party and primary opposition since 1994 respectively. With a shared history of continuous enmity, relations between these parties have typically been cool, characterised by finger-pointing and antagonism. However, 2024’s coalition moment fundamentally altered the dynamic
between these parties, and their cooperation is essential for the effectiveness and longevity of the GNU.
Understanding the state of ANC-DA relations is crucial to understanding the dynamics of the GNU and assessing its trajectory. Indeed, tensions remain high between the ANC and DA, and have come to a boiling point numerous times in the GNU’s short lifespan so far. In particular, three policy issues have rocked the GNU, primarily through ANC-DA conflict: the National Health Insurance Act (NHI), the Basic
Education Laws Amendment Act (BELA) and the Expropriation Act. These policy issues, key coalition friction points, were the centre of this study’s analysis of ANC-DA friction in the GNU era, and its implications for the GNU overall. Specifically, through an analysis of parliamentary debate regarding these issues, this study sought to answer the following research questions:

To what may these patterns be attributed? (e.g. fundamental party ideology,
alleged issues of feasibility, etc.). Are there any notable patterns in the ANC and DA’s discourse related to the
NHI, the BELA and the Expropriation Acts? How do they each frame these
issues? What do these patterns reveal about the parties employing them?

 

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Uncovering hidden tax fraud patterns using graph attention networks supplemented with XGBoost and KMeans clustering

Researcher: Zolani Xulu, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
Supervisor: Dr. Martins Arasomwan, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg

This study introduces a hybrid machine learning framework that combines a Graph Attention Network (GAT), k-means clustering, and XGBoost enhanced with the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) to uncover hidden tax fraud patterns. The GAT is employed to learn node embeddings that capture both the individual features of taxpayers and their interconnections within a tax
network. These embeddings are then clustered using k-means to reveal unusual behavioral patterns, while XGBoost performs final classification between fraudulent and legitimate entities. By integrating graph-based learning with clustering and ensemble methods, this approach enhances fraud detection
accuracy and interpretability. The results demonstrate that hybrid graph-driven models outperform traditional systems in identifying complex and previously unseen fraud behaviors, offering tax authorities a powerful data-driven tool for improving compliance and reducing revenue losses.

 

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From Ancestors to Algorithms: Traditional Healers Views on Mental Illness in the Digital Age

Researcher: Tshilidzi Rathogwa, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
Supervisor: Tasneem Haseem, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg

There is a high prevalence of mental illness in South Africa, with limited access to formal care. Traditional healers serve as a crucial and culturally resonant first line of support for many communities. Online mental health discourse is largely dominated by Western biomedical perspectives, marginalizing indigenous knowledge. A new phenomenon is emerging as traditional healers begin to share their perspectives on digital platforms like YouTube. This study investigates how traditional healers
represent mental illness online and how the public engages with these views.

 

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A Comparative Analysis of the Impact of Foreign Aid on Development in Africa

Researcher: Rorisang Motlogelwa, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
Supervisor: Dr Ekeminiabasi Eyita-Okon, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg

This study examines how the impact of foreign aid on development varies across Africa from 2013 to 2022. Drawing on Amartya Sen’s (1999) development as freedom framework, development is assessed through indicators such as primary school enrollment, prevalence of undernourishment, life expectancy, voice and accountability, and GNI per capita. Using panel data methods, the analysis finds that the effects of aid vary across regions and between sectors. Governance emerges as a key moderator: in some instances,  weak governance can hinder development but interacts positively with aid, while in others good governance enhances outcomes yet may reduce aid’s effectiveness. The findings underscore the uneven influence of aid across Africa and sectors and highlight the need for sector-specific and longer-term analyses.

 

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Security and development in practice: a quantitative analysis of the Nexus

Researcher: Lemohang Mosoeunyane, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
Supervisor: Dr C. Monjane, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg

This study investigates the security-development nexus (SDN) through a cross-national quantitative analysis that moves beyond case-specific and largely theoretical debates. It assesses the extent to which stability translates into development and identifies the conditions that shape this relationship, guided by
the following research question: To what extent does security affect countries’ development outcomes?

 

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Random Sampling-based Relative Radiometric Normalisation

Researcher: Wessel Bonnet, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
Supervisors: Turgay Çelik, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg

Relative radiometric normalisation (RRN) is a widely used methodology for change detection and radiometric calibration of corresponding multispectral images for further analysis. However, standard RRN methods are not robust against anomalous (or outlier) pixels, which warp the calibration and decrease the spectral similarity of processed images. This research seeks to improve the calibration of corresponding
multispectral images through relative radiometric normalisation by utilising a novel random sampling-based method based on the random sampling consensus (RANSAC) to exclude outlier pixels from the analysis. A comparison is made against the widely used Covariance Equalisation (CE), Multivariate Alteration Detection (MAD), Iteratively Reweighted MAD (IR-MAD) and Iterative Slow Feature Analysis (ISFA) algorithms in terms of computing times, mean squared error and the structural similarity index measure. The experimental results show that the proposed method performs favourably against CE, MAD, IR-MAD and ISFA in all metrics considered in this research.

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Predicting Particle Fineness in a Cement Mill

Researcher: Rowan Lange, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
Supervisors: Prof. Anton van Wyk, Dr. Terence van Zyl

Cement production is a multi-billion dollar industry, of which one of the main subprocesses, cement milling, is complex and non-linear. There is a need to model the fineness of particles exiting the milling circuit in order to better control the cement plant. This paper explores the relationship between the particle size of cement produced and various sensor readings from the cement mill circuit. The aim of this paper is to provide a model for predicting the fineness of particles exiting the milling circuit using data on the current and past states of the plant. A comprehensive literature review of the problem as well as a discussion of potential modelling solutions is provided. Blaine (particle fineness) is modelled using many different linear and non linear models on 5 months of data from a large cement plant. On a holdout test set a multi layered perceptron achieved a MAE of 8.799 and a linear regression achieved a R2 of 0.481. discussion of the significance of various features for predicting Blaine is also presented. The results show some success from non-linear data-driven models and highlight the unique difficulties in modelling the cement mill, presenting recommendations for future research.

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Indigenous Women Moving From Physical to Digital Fires: The Evolution of Methods of Transmission of Indigenous Knowledge

Researcher: Khanyisile Yolanda Ntsenge, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
Supervisors: Dr Constance Khupe and Prof. Rod Alence, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg

In response to the threat of extinction of indigenous knowledge, there has been a growing number of people, a significant amount of whom are women, interested in the preservation of indigenous knowledge systems who have begun to use social media platforms such as Twitter and YouTube and the indigenous method of storytelling to share indigenous knowledge.
The aim of the study is to understand how the introduction of the social media platforms Twitter and YouTube has changed the community structures for sharing indigenous knowledge in physical versus social media communities.

The research is informed by a postcolonial indigenous and indigenous feminist approach and employs transformative participatory research in its methodology. Indigenous women in physical communities participated in the research while accounts owned by indigenous women on Twitter and YouTube were analysed. A social network analysis was conducted on both the physical communities data and social media data. Sentiment analysis was conducted on the social media data.

The results show that the network of communities while both anchored by indigenous women have different structures. The physical communities were very tight-knit with members of the networks learning and sharing indigenous knowledge amongst each other thereby potentially reinforcing their knowledge. The social media communities were mainly connected only to the main account and members rarely engaged with each other. The sentiment analysis found conversations in the social media networks to be significantly positive with the highest scoring emotion being that of trust.

The research has shown that although women play an important role in the sharing of indigenous knowledge in both physical and online communities, the community network structures differ. It also evidenced that there is a space and appetite for conversations on indigenous knowledge on social media. Furthermore, as they are in physical communities, women continue to be important custodians of indigenous knowledge and are trusted to share credible indigenous knowledge. This presents opportunities for further exploration on how to leverage social media platforms to mainstream indigenous knowledge while amplifying the voices of indigenous women as custodians of indigenous knowledge.

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Using discrete emotions and review discrepency to predict the helpfulness of mobile app reviews

Researcher: Mpho Modise, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
Supervisor: Dr S. Verkijika, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg

In our digital lives, smartphones have become indispensable tools, and the Google
Play Store stands as a central platform for mobile applications. User reviews on this
platform significantly influence consumer decisions. Nevertheless, the sheer volume
of reviews poses a formidable challenge. To address this issue, this study suggests a
comprehensive approach employing algorithms to assess the quality, relevance, and
credibility of reviews.

 

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